About ETFNavigator
ETFNavigator is an easy to follow ETFs timing, ranking and hedging systems with Model Portfolios. Here is a list of the services we are performing and a short explanation on how they are done:
A-Market timing: We use ten technical indicators applying different weight to each to determine the market condition in the short term and long term whether it is positive, neutral, or negative. The results of analysis are the basis of our timing allocations as shown in the following tables:
Moderate Allocation :
| |
Long term positive |
Long term Neutral |
Long term Negative |
| Short term Positive |
100 % Long |
50 % Long |
100 % Cash |
| Short term Neutral |
50 % Long |
100 % Cash |
50 % Short |
| Short term Negative |
100 % Cash |
50 % Short |
100 % Short |
Conservative Allocation :
| |
Long term positive |
Long term Neutral |
Long term Negative |
| Short term Positive |
100 % Long |
50 % Long |
100 % Cash |
| Short term Neutral |
50 % Long |
100 % Cash |
100 % Cash |
| Short term Negative |
100 % Cash |
100 % Cash |
100 % Cash |
Aggressive Allocation:
| |
Long term positive |
Long term Neutral |
Long term Negative |
| Short term Positive |
200 % Long |
100 % Long |
100 % Cash |
| Short term Neutral |
100 % Long |
100 % Cash |
100 % Short |
| Short term Negative |
100 % Cash |
100 % Cash |
200 % Short |
The indicators we use include among others trend following, relative strength, volatility, market breadth, and market sentiment.
B-ETFs Group Ranking: Extensive back testing was performed to come up with the best formula for ranking; the resulting formula is momentum exponentially based giving more weight to near term strength. We apply the ranking formula each week on the following groups of ETFs:
1-Bonds ranking: will determine wither long term, intermediate term, or short term bonds are performing better, included also corporate bonds and the inflation adjusted Lehman TIPs.
2-Currency ETFs ranking: includes 9 major currencies; this ranking can be used for trading; going Long the best ranked and Short the worst ranked. Currency ranking is as an added tool for choosing which International ETFs to go Long or Short; when a country has a strong currency it is ETF is more likely to perform better than a country with weak currency. Finally the ranking is very good tool for trading the FOREX.
3-Market ETFs ranking: includes 15 ETFs the small, the large, and the midcap wither growth or value, wither NYSE based or Nasdaq.
4-Sector ETFs ranking: includes all the main sectors of the economy plus about thirty subsectors, industries and commodities; soft and hard, such as gold, silver, and gas.
5-International ETFs ranking: includes all the major world regions; North America, South America, Europe, Asia, and Australia. These regions include emerging as well as developed.
6-Two Fund families are also ranked Profunds and Fidelity.
In general our ranking system is very useful tool by:
a-Going Long the best ranked ETFs when the general stock market condition is Long.
b-Going Short the worst ranked ETFs when the general stock market condition is Short.
c-Going Long the best, and Short the worst when the general market condition is sideways as a hedge.
d- Using the ranking in constructing ETFFs Portfolios.
C-Model Portfolios: We use our ranking system to decide which ETF to include in the Long side and which ETF to include in the Short side. The number of Long positions and the number of Short positions is determined systematically using our timing allocations. We currently have six model portfolios; one for market, a second for Sectors, a third for international , two more for Fund families and the last is similar to market portfolio but has a bond component to produce an asset allocated portfolio.
We send clear simple e-mail for any change in portfolios’ content, or change of signal, while all rankings are performed each week.
We at ETFNavigator are very confident in our work hence we allow one months trial subscription ,this should be enough to convince trial subscribers to become regular permanent subscribers.
What does it take to be successfull with us
1) Confidence: You need to trust our systems. We are giving you a two months trial to build this trust. Small loses are to be expected sometimes, but we don't accept large losses or drawdowns.
2) Ignore Others: Many times we are at odd with what is recommended at business media, you may hear a strategic investment advisor at a large institution recommending to back up the truck and load on stocks because the market is about to rocket up, while we are shorting the market.
3) Discipline: Stick to the system at all times even if you are feeling some pain from a loosing position. You are with us for the long haul, we want to preserve capital and let profits run. If you prefere to put a stop loss then let it be a 5% trailing stop loss. We don't want you to close a position when it is about to turn in your favor. We don't want you to take profit prematurely, we want profits to run.
4) Best time to start:Initiate positions only when there is a change in signal.Later entry away from signal price carries higher risk . you need to trade every new signal we issue, the signal or trade you miss may turn out to be the most profitable one.
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