About ETFNavigator

ETFNavigator is an easy to follow ETFs timing, ranking and hedging systems with Model Portfolios. Here is a list of the services we are performing and a short explanation on how they are done:

A-Market timing: We use ten technical indicators applying different weight to each to determine the market condition in the short term and intermediate term whether it is positive, neutral, or negative. The results of analysis are the basis of our timing allocations as shown in the following tables:

Moderate Allocation :

Conservative ( Long only) Allocation :

Aggressive Allocation:

We adjust the allocation to take care of Long and Cyclical conditions of the market.

For investors who prefere to trade only the Intermediate term signal ,we have put this table as a guide:

Equivalent instruments that can be used by aggresive timers :

The indicators we use include among others trend following, relative strength, volatility, market breadth, and market sentiment.

B-Sector and International ETFs timing:Ten main sectors and five sectors related to commodities are included. Ten main Interrnational ETFs are included ; the BRIC couuntries and broad regions. Nine tested indicators are used to determine the determine the long term trend for each ETF.Finally because of the importance of the movement of the U.S.Dollar to the general market, and to international ETFs in particular short and long term trend is also included.

C-ETFs Group Ranking: Extensive back testing was performed to come up with the best formula for ranking; the resulting formula is momentum exponentially based giving more weight to near term strength. We apply the ranking formula each week on the following groups of ETFs:
1-Bonds ranking: will determine wither long term, intermediate term, or short term bonds are performing better, included also corporate bonds and the inflation adjusted Lehman TIPs.
2-Currency ETFs ranking: includes 9 major currencies; this ranking can be used for trading; going Long the best ranked and Short the worst ranked. Currency ranking is as an added tool for choosing which International ETFs to go Long or Short; when a country has a strong currency it is ETF is more likely to perform better than a country with weak currency. Finally the ranking is very good tool for trading the FOREX.
3-Market ETFs ranking: includes 15 ETFs the small, the large, and the midcap wither growth or value, wither NYSE based or Nasdaq.
4-Sector ETFs ranking: includes all the main sectors of the economy plus about thirty subsectors, industries and commodities; soft and hard, such as gold, silver, and gas.
5-International ETFs ranking: includes all the major world regions; North America, South America, Europe, Asia, and Australia. These regions include emerging as well as developed.
6-Two Fund families are also ranked Profunds and Fidelity.
In general our ranking system is very useful tool by:
a-Going Long the best ranked ETFs when the general stock market condition is Long.
b-Going Short the worst ranked ETFs when the general stock market condition is Short.
c-Going Long the best, and Short the worst when the general market condition is sideways as a hedge.
d- Using the ranking in constructing ETFFs Portfolios.

We have two time frames for ranking ; short and long,while the short term is best used by traders ,the long term is intended for investors.Both frames should be considered in maintaining portfolios.

What does it take to be successfull with us

1) Confidence: You need to trust our systems. We are giving you a two months trial to build this trust. Small loses are to be expected sometimes, but we don't accept large losses or drawdowns.

2) Ignore Others: Many times we are at odd with what is recommended at business media, you may hear a strategic investment advisor at a large institution recommending to back up the truck and load on stocks because the market is about to rocket up, while we are shorting the market.

3) Discipline: Stick to the system at all times even if you are feeling some pain from a loosing position. You are with us for the long haul, we want to preserve capital and let profits run. If you prefere to put a stop loss then let it be a 5% trailing stop loss. We don't want you to close a position when it is about to turn in your favor. We don't want you to take profit prematurely, we want profits to run.

4) Best time to start:Initiate positions only when there is a change in signal or allocation.Later entry away from signal price carries higher risk . you need to trade every new signal we issue, the signal or trade you miss may turn out to be the most profitable one.