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Historical ETF Performance 2002(back tested):

Year 2001 Year 2002 Year 2003 Year 2004 Year 2005
 
Date
Signal
IWM
Price
Profit/
Loss
QQQQ
Price
Profit/
Loss
SPY
Price
Profit/
Loss
12/31/2001
   Long
45.94 38.4 106.75
01/10/2002
   short
47.01 1.07 40.84 2.44 108.41 1.66
02/14/2002
   Long
44.58 2.43 36.39 4.45 106.67 1.74
04/03/2002
   short
47.18 2.6 34.57 -1.82 105.97 -0.7
08/14/2002
   Long
37.18 10 23.72 10.85 86.68 19.29
08/30/2002
   short
37.35 0.17 23.18 -0.54 86.26 -0.42
10/15/2002
   Long
32.17 5.18 23.25 -0.07 83.74 2.52
12/03/2002
   short
38.42 6.25 26.81 3.56 87.68 3.94
12/31/2002 36.58 1.84 24.05 2.76 83.71 3.97
Total points 29.54 21.63 32
Profits:
Long & Short 64.30% 56.33% 29.98%
Long & Short
with margin    IWM 128.60%    QQQQ 112.66%     SPY 59.95%
Long Only 21.96% 9.48% 4.20%
Long Only
with margin 43.93% 18.96% 8.39%
Buy and Hold -20% -40% -22%