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Historical ETF Performance 2003(back tested):

Year 2001 Year 2002 Year 2003 Year 2004 Year 2005
 
Date
Signal
IWM
Price
Profit/
Loss
QQQQ
Price
Profit/
Loss
SPY
Price
Profit/
Loss
12/31/2002    Long 36.38 24.05 83.71
01/16/2003    short 37.99 1.61 26.09 2.04 87.3 3.59
03/17/2003    Long 35.06 2.93 26.06 0.03 82.33 4.97
07/25/2003    short 45.37 10.31 31.38 5.32 95.82 13.49
08/12/2003    Long 45.19 0.18 30.45 0.93 95.17 0.65
09/24/2003    short 49.05 3.86 32.78 2.33 97.03 1.86
10/01/2003    Long 48.39 0.66 32.71 0.07 97.96 -0.93
12/31/2003 54.1 5.71 35.99 3.28 107.3 9.34
Total points 25.26 14 32.97
Profits:
Long & Short 69.43% 58.21% 39.39%
Long & Short        
with margin    IWM 138.87%    QQQQ 116.42%     SPY 78.77%
Long Only 59.07% 53.93% 33.78%
Long Only
with margin 118.14% 107.86% 67.57%
Buy and Hold 47% 40% 28%